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The organization looks forward to the semiconductor industry in 2025: the AI ​ ​ replacement tide leads the growth, and the semiconductor ETF(512480) may usher in new development opportunities. On December 13, the semiconductor ETF(512480) closed down by 1.38%, with a turnover of 1.671 billion yuan. The constituent stocks are mixed, and Zhaoyi Innovation leads the rise. In terms of decline, SMIC led the decline. CICC said that after the boom in 2024, it is expected that the inventory of the semiconductor industry will stabilize and the relationship between supply and demand will be more balanced in 2025. With the gradual landing of AI cloud and end demand, domestic semiconductor elements will usher in new development opportunities. In addition, the AI-changing tide has a pulling effect on the downstream demand of the semiconductor design sector, which is expected to accelerate the growth of the semiconductor design sector in 2025 and inject new vitality into the industry.Zhonglu Co., Ltd.: The total amount of taxes and late fees paid is 15,430,100 yuan. Zhonglu Co., Ltd. announced that the company, as a limited partner of Zhonglu Advantage, received its cash asset distribution according to the resolution of Zhonglu Advantage Partner Meeting. In view of the above-mentioned asset allocation matters, the company strictly abides by the relevant regulations and adopts the principle of "tax after distribution". As required, it has declared and paid enterprise income tax of 11,770,500 yuan and late payment fee of 3,659,500 yuan, totaling 15,430,100 yuan. The late payment fee paid by the company will be included in the current profit and loss in 2024, which is expected to affect the company's net profit attributable to shareholders of listed companies in 2024 by about 3,659,500 yuan.Jimi Technology: The wholly-owned subsidiary has received the designated notice of development from a well-known domestic automobile main engine factory, and Jimi Technology announced that Yibin Jimi, a wholly-owned subsidiary, has received the designated notice of development from a well-known domestic automobile main engine factory, and will become the designated development supplier of the customer's car projector to supply intelligent cockpit display products.

Goldman Sachs lowered the UK's GDP growth forecast for 2024 from the previous 1.2% to 1.0%.Vegetable oil fell by 1.90% on the 13th, and the latest main contract positions changed as follows. According to the exchange data, as of December 13th, the main contract vegetable oil closed at 2,505, up or down by -1.90%, with a turnover of 535,800 lots. The position data showed that the top 20 seats were clear, and the difference position was 21,545 lots. The total turnover of vegetable oil futures contracts was 593,700 lots, a decrease of 112,100 lots from the previous day. The first 20 seats in the contract held 232,900 lots, a decrease of 3,819 lots from the previous day. The short positions in the top 20 seats of the contract were 254,200 lots, an increase of 687 lots over the previous day. (Sina Futures)Shengyi Technology: The total sales volume of the company's rigid copper clad laminate ranks second in the world. Shengyi Technology said at the collective exchange meeting of investors that according to the statistics and ranking of the global rigid copper clad laminate in 2023 by Prismark of the United States, the total sales volume of the company's rigid copper clad laminate ranks second in the world, with a global market share of 14%. Regarding the growth trend of AI server, the company said that the upgrade iteration of hardware equipment related to AI server is fast, and the product form is quite different from that of previous wired products. The company can quickly respond to customer requirements and provide solutions. It is expected that AI applications will gradually develop from large model training to application in the future, and it is expected to achieve good growth.

The Zhuhai earthquake did not meet the emergency response standard, so citizens need not worry too much. On December 13th, some Zhuhai citizens felt obvious vibration, and many people suspected that an earthquake had occurred. Some citizens felt the vibration during lunch break, and some people felt the building shaking in the office. On the afternoon of the 13th, the reporter called the Seismological Bureau of Guangdong Province, and the relevant staff responded that at about 1: 25 noon on December 13th, a magnitude 2.1 earthquake occurred in the urban area of Zhuhai, so citizens need not worry too much. Because the magnitude of the earthquake did not reach the preset emergency response standard, the relevant departments did not start the emergency response mechanism, so the earthquake quick report information was not released. The staff member said that the bureau is also concerned about the public's concern about the earthquake, and is currently conducting corresponding research and judgment, and will issue corresponding research and judgment opinions later. (Nanfang Daily)Zaks, managing director of the European Central Bank: If necessary, the interest rate can be greatly reduced. zaks, managing director of the European Central Bank, said that if economic development requires it, the interest rate cut may be increased. Although zaks thinks that the gradual approach is appropriate, he warns that the impact of geopolitics and war may bring "new impetus" to inflation. Kazakhstan said in a blog post on Friday: "If necessary, this range can be greater than 0.25%." "The current method-analysis/decision based on data and each meeting-is very suitable for this situation." Zaks also said that the future trend of interest rates is also very clear, that is, downward. The neutral interest rate is closer to 2% than 3%, so it is still necessary to cut interest rates sharply.On the 13th, caustic soda dropped by 3.03%, and the latest main contract positions changed as follows. According to the exchange data, as of December 13th, the main contract caustic soda 2501 closed, with a turnover of 57,100 lots. The position data showed that the top 20 seats were clear, and the difference position was 1,383 lots. The total contract turnover of caustic soda futures was 94,800 lots, an increase of 27,900 lots over the previous day. The first 20 seats in the contract held 71,100 lots, an increase of 2,202 lots over the previous day. Short positions in the top 20 seats of the contract were 72,700 lots, an increase of 1,157 lots over the previous day. (Sina Futures)